Our Predictions


We’ll publish our USA-specific predictions against actual data that we get here.

Note: current data is placeholder or outdated. New data inputs every 2 weeks.


Spread Prediction

DateDayNew InfectedTotal InfectedNew DeathsTotal DeathsPopulation Alive
2020-01-01022007,727,439,400
2020-01-111057007,727,439,400
2020-01-21201218117,727,439,399
2020-01-31302844237,727,439,397
2020-02-104064103587,727,439,392
2020-02-205014423611197,727,439,381
2020-03-016031853024437,727,439,357
2020-03-11706901,16753967,727,439,304
2020-03-21801,4702,5241132097,727,439,191
2020-03-31903,0725,3572394487,727,438,952
2020-04-101006,29811,1594969447,727,438,456
2020-04-2011012,65922,8081,0101,9547,727,437,446
2020-04-3012024,93845,7322,0143,9687,727,435,432
2020-05-1013048,13089,9243,9387,9067,727,431,494
2020-05-2014090,966173,3487,54215,4487,727,423,952
2020-05-30150168,287327,49014,14529,5937,727,409,807
2020-06-09160304,599606,12225,96755,5607,727,383,840
2020-06-19170539,1401,098,62846,634102,1947,727,337,206
2020-06-29180932,7121,949,44581,895184,0897,727,255,311
2020-07-091901,576,2833,385,168140,560324,6497,727,114,751
2020-07-192002,600,8675,750,381235,654560,3037,726,879,097
2020-07-292104,187,3969,552,068385,709946,0127,726,493,388
2020-08-082206,574,21215,510,314615,9661,561,9787,725,877,422
2020-08-1823010,058,54424,609,680959,1782,521,1567,724,918,244
2020-08-2824014,987,23138,141,4401,455,4713,976,6277,723,462,773
2020-09-0725021,731,48557,722,2572,150,6686,127,2957,721,312,105
2020-09-1726030,641,39485,271,2613,092,3909,219,6857,718,219,715
2020-09-2727041,978,710122,926,4704,323,50113,543,1867,713,896,214
2020-10-0728055,831,684172,885,3325,872,82219,416,0087,708,023,392
2020-10-1729072,022,872237,164,3497,743,85527,159,8637,700,279,537
2020-10-2730090,028,590317,289,7949,903,14537,063,0087,690,376,392
2020-11-06310108,934,594413,953,49112,270,89749,333,9057,678,105,495
2020-11-16320127,453,475526,689,90214,717,06464,050,9697,663,388,431
2020-11-26330144,022,427653,646,30917,066,02081,116,9897,646,322,411
2020-12-06340156,984,445791,518,97819,111,776100,228,7657,627,210,635
2020-12-16350164,833,667935,709,19020,643,455120,872,2207,606,567,180
2020-12-26360166,482,0041,080,713,36721,477,827142,350,0477,585,089,353
2021-01-05370161,487,5441,220,708,08421,492,827163,842,8747,563,596,526
2021-01-15380150,183,4161,350,237,24320,654,257184,497,1317,542,942,269
2021-01-25390133,663,2401,464,872,24419,028,239203,525,3707,523,914,030
2021-02-04400113,613,7541,561,711,26116,774,737220,300,1077,507,139,293
2021-02-1441092,027,1411,639,616,21214,122,190234,422,2977,493,017,103
2021-02-2442070,860,8991,699,148,57011,328,541245,750,8387,481,688,562
2021-03-0643051,728,4561,742,239,0828,637,944254,388,7827,473,050,618
2021-03-1644035,692,6351,771,688,0926,243,625260,632,4077,466,806,993
2021-03-2645023,200,2131,790,623,0354,265,270264,897,6777,462,541,723
2021-04-0546014,152,1301,802,030,5802,744,585267,642,2627,459,797,138
2021-04-154708,066,7141,808,440,0801,657,214269,299,4767,458,139,924
2021-04-254804,275,3581,811,780,506934,932270,234,4087,457,204,992
2021-05-054902,094,9251,813,385,047490,384270,724,7927,456,714,608

Historical Data Prediction

Invalid location provided: usa

Spread Summary Prediction

Starting Population7,727,439,400
Immune Population50,000
Start Date2020-01-01
Initial Infections2
Infection Rate2.45
Incubation Days10
Mortality Rate3%
Mortality Complicator10%
Burnout Rate4%
Iteration Count50
Population At Risk7,727,389,400
Total Infected2,084,109,839
Total Recovered1,813,385,047
Total Deaths270,724,792
Total Uninfected5,643,329,561
Population Alive7,456,714,608

Historic Pandemic Prediction

Invalid location provided: usa

New Infected Deaths


New Infected New Hospitalizations Prediction


Total Infected Deaths


Workforce Disruption Prediction


Disease Severity Prediction


Deaths By Age Group Prediction


Disease Symptoms Types Prediction


Population Decline Prediction


Total Deaths Prediction